Dr. Frankovich Talks Local Control Over Reopening, Dining Out, Alder Bay, and More

Humboldt County’s Public Health Officer Dr. Teresa Frankovich has been answering questions since the stay-at-home orders were instituted on a two question per media outlet roughly three times a week basis. The Department of Health and Human Services or office takes the questions, and reads them on camera for their response. The resulting video, called a Media Availability, is then provided to news outlets at the end of the day.

Here are some of the main points covered in the May 29 Media Availability session with a recap of answers form Dr. Teresa Frankovich, followed by questions we would have liked to ask in response if appropriate.

Dr Frankovich first addressed the current status of reopening in Humboldt County.

I know it’s been a crazy thing lately, the pace of this. And I know it’s been a bit confusing for everybody, and a lot of the information that’s coming to us from the governors office for instants, we have not had much lead time on. So we are sort of hearing and understanding a lot of it at the same time that the community is.

So I think that the best way to sort of frame this is, in response to requests from many bodies across the state, the Governor’s office is gradually turning over more and more pieces of the framework to local control and I think that that is a great approach. Because we will be able to tailor things.

But I just want to emphasize to people that, in spite of that, the governor opening those things to local control does not mean that the governor is endorsing that all of those things to be open all at once. That is not the message. It simply allows for local conditions to help mark the path going forward and it’s very important for us to follow the sort of framework that we’ve been talking about here for a long time- which is that we look at our local data, We open, we allow enough time to be able to keep monitoring the data and see what affect we’re having and then we move forward some more.

It would be lovely for us to flip a switch and just be back to old times. That would be great. But it’s not safe to do, and in this situation not a practical move. So we need to pace ourselves a bit.

We have spent up our pace compared to what we had originally planned at the outset of this pandemic, but we are monitoring very carefully. And so as people know, we begin opening retail a couple weeks ago. It’s been about now two weeks. We are allowing restaurants to open and again, in accordance with the guidance provided for safety, and with approval at the County level so that people going to visit these entities know that they have submitted a thoughtful plan that the county has reviewed. And I think that that is reassuring for both employees and for people in the community. And we will continue that process as we move forward.

2 mins 30 secs in: 

Media Question:  On Thursday, the Sonoma County Sheriff said he and his department will no longer enforce Sonoma County Public Health Orders. How difficult do you think it will be for the health officer there to minimize risk of transmission—if the public knows they will not face consequences for disobeying the orders?

Answer by Dr. Frankovich: 

Well, first off, I found that announcement disappointing. I think in the best of all worlds, this really is a partnership between public health and law-enforcement and multiple other entities within the community.

I think that from the beginning we have framed this as primarily education rather than enforcement, because we believed that most people, given good information about safety and about what is needed going forward, will use that information and do what’s needed to protect other, their family members, their friends, other members of the community as well. And so I think that remains the case. But again, it’s certainly not optimal going forward for Sonoma.

3 mins 45 sec in:

Media Question:  Sonoma County Sheriff Mark Essick yesterday announced that he will no longer enforce his county’s shelter orders. With the increasing partisan divide over government health orders, do you feel that the Humboldt County’s Public Health branch has the full backing of Sheriff Honsal?

Answer by Dr. Frankovich: 

Well, I’ve really appreciated Sheriff Honsal’s support in this. We have met extensively over the last few months and we continue to do so. I appreciate the perspective that he brings to the table when we meet, and sort of make plans going forward. You know, frankly, I count on that continued support.

4 mins 25 sec in: 

Media Question:   As the local number of positive cases continues to grow and with the third local death reported, is there any consideration of pulling back on the reopening of businesses? Or do you continue to believe it is a good idea to move toward Phase 3 of reopening?

Answer by Dr. Frankovich: 

Well, first I wanted to of course mention that we mourn the loss of any resident of our community, and again it highlights the issue that COVID is a particularly problematic infection for people who are older and more fragile, in general.  That being said, you know, looking at mortality in our county due to COVID is only one of the indicators that we look at for deciding on safety of moving forward.  We look at multiple indicators. 

I think that we are in a position to move forward, however again, I want to emphasize that it’s important that we do so gradually, rather than all at once, and that we are constantly monitoring data as we move forward.

6 mins 45 sec in: 

Media Question: Now that local restaurants are being cleared to resume dine-in service, do you personally plan to eat at any of them? Would you advise your own family members that doing so is safe?

Answer by Dr. Frankovich: 

I certainly miss dining out in Humboldt County restaurants.  As do many people, I know.  Personally, I am 60.  My husband is 70.  We will likely be eating at home for the most part. But, I do suspect there will be occasions that we will go out and eat. 

I would just recommend to people that there is really very good guidance available for restaurants to operate under the time of COVID.  And that again, those restaurants are using that guidance, they are submitting plans, that’s being reviewed and the reason for doing so to really help ensure that people are safer going out and eating or doing other activities in our community. 

So, I think that we can do that but I would still encourage people who are perhaps older or medically have underlying conditions that put them at risk, strongly consider whether they are going out, and if they do, perhaps they want to do something like go at hours that are not as populated.  Go to places that are structured for outdoor dining or that really have, you know, sort of different capacity levels.  All of these entities should be prepared going forward and so I hope people are able to enjoy going out a bit more than they have been able to.

7 mins in: 

Media Question:  On Thursday, another Humboldt COVID death was announced in connection to Alder Bay senior living facility. Have you recommended a plan to Alder Bay for how residents in the facility who develop COVID-19 will be handled (for example., transfer to single room, implement use of Transmission-Based Precautions, prioritize for testing, transfer to COVID-19 unit, if positive)?

Answer by Dr. Frankovich: 

Sure. So we’ve worked extensively with Alder Bay over this time period.  We have, again, worked on many of these issues.  We’ve made sure that they have adequate PPE, we’ve worked to get additional staffing on board, to get additional staff trained, and a variety of things.  We have done ongoing testing for that facility, and continuing to do so.

Interestingly, and in our area and this is common for across many areas of the state, most facilities are not structured to be able to have a separate wing perhaps or area to have a unit, as described in this question, and so it’s really a matter of looking at the landscape of what they have and what can be safest within that.  Also, just of note, we are working intensively with the other assisted-living facilities as well as our skilled nursing facilities, going on site, providing a lot of the same assistance so that people are prepared.

8 mins 30 sec in:   

Media Question:  Is it true there a various strains of the virus?  I’ve heard rumor that there is three strains?  Can you please explain?

Answer by Dr. Frankovich:  

Well, there are multiple strains of this virus. There’s really no evidence I’ve seen to date that any particular strain is more virulent or causes more significant disease than the other strain, but it’s very normal for virus strains to mutate and circulate in all of their varieties through a country or community even.

Luckily, the testing that we have in our lab and in many of the large commercial labs, the RTPC are testing is designed actually to capture the common pieces of genetic material across the strains so that we are able to identify it in testing.

9 mins 25 sec in: 

Media Question:  Can you provide specific graphs showing what modeling looks like with the current amount of the county open?  When is the current influx expected to peak, and what does that mean in terms of expected hospitalizations?

Answer by Dr. Frankovich: 

Well, it’s an interesting question. I don’t have a model for where we are at right now.  Again, I think most people are aware of our previous conversations that it’s very difficult for us to have a modeling that tells us what opening retail does, or opening restaurants would do at this time because there are a whole lot of variables.  What I can say is that over time we will sort of re-create our models and keep looking.  At this time, mostly what we are doing is looking at trend lines that are current epidemiology and looking at all of those trigger features that we have been talking about within our variance, to monitor where we are in terms of safety. In terms of the question about peaks, what were tending to see with COVID right now is this kind of pattern, we get clusters of cases, we see identified contacts, we quarantine and isolate, and then we gradually see a decrease until the next cluster of cases emerges.  And so none of these (gestures with rolling hand motions) are in the sense of surge, it’s not at that level.  But I anticipate that we’re going to see a lot of this potentially going forward and our goal of course is that we sort of have these smaller peaks as we get these clusters without ever having tall peaks that we can’t accommodate.  And again, that’s what we are going to be looking at when we monitor our data is- are we able to keep up with the case investigations, are we able to isolate and quarantine so that we can help contain spread, do we have hospital capacity, do we have ICU bed capacity, are we testing enough, and what is our increase or trend in positive cases?  So all of those things are on the table and we look at those things daily.  



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tax payer
Guest
tax payer
3 years ago

https://thehill.com/opinion/healthcare/499394-the-covid-19-shutdown-will-cost-americans-millions-of-years-of-life

The shutdown was a disaster and continues to be a disaster every day it continues. If your’e reading this right now, and you were a proponent of the shutdown, best reverse course now. If you’re reading this right now, and you were a proponent of the shutdown, and you still are, you are an utter moron and you want people to die. I’m not just saying that because karma is a cruel harlot, but because this shutdown is killing people.

Again I say, this shutdown is costing lives. If all lives matter, then the lives of the middle-aged, mothers, fathers, sisters, brothers, husbands, wives, and children, whose lives have been upended in order to spare granny, also matter. Which is exactly what the authors of the study concluded.

The shutdown was a mistake. COVID-19 isn’t as bad as early models predicted. Don’t continue with the shutdown to save face. Get out into society, get back to work, go about your lives. And remember this bullshit the next time government tries to scare you into submission. Don’t submit. Don’t let a pandemic allow socialism to creep into your life. Don’t allow government officials to tell you how to live. Don’t allow a cough to ruin not just your life, but possibly cost years off of it or someone you know.

tax payer
Guest
tax payer
3 years ago
Reply to  tax payer

…COVID-19 fatalities have fallen disproportionately on the elderly, particularly in nursing homes, and those with co-morbidities. Based on the expected remaining lifetimes of these COVID-19 patients, and given that 40 percent of deaths are in nursing homes, the disease has been responsible for 800,000 lost years of life so far. Considering only the losses of life from missed health care and unemployment due solely to the lockdown policy, we conservatively estimate that the national lockdown is responsible for at least 700,000 lost years of life every month, or about 1.5 million so far – already far surpassing the COVID-19 total.

Willie Bray
Guest
3 years ago
Reply to  tax payer

🕯🌳Your unemployment checks so your going into a panic, you sound like your friend. 🌍🐸🖖Who I’m sure will make an appearance next.🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸

Some Random Guy on the Internet
Guest
Some Random Guy on the Internet
3 years ago
Reply to  tax payer

The main tragedy here is that Americans have been cast to star in a State of Fear, giving up their freedom to live under an evil and incompetent government, and, many are being driven to suicide, utter despair, and complete financial ruin.

Our government has blundered it’s way into a gigantic mess that it has no concept of how to clean up.

Thanks to Taxpayer for this post, and to the author of this item linked.

This shutdown will cost us more than we can currently conceive, and, the shutdown has to end TODAY.

Release your fears, move forward.

https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/05/28/863944333/antibody-tests-point-to-lower-death-rate-for-the-coronavirus-than-first-thought

tax payer
Guest
tax payer
3 years ago

if after reading this study you continue your shutdown, then you are complicit in the deaths of americans.
if anyone of my family members dies i will be suing these self proclaimed ‘health dictators’.

Erika Morlan
Guest
Erika Morlan
3 years ago
Reply to  tax payer

But allow random anonymous person who engaged in name-calling in the comments section to tell you how to live? I think not.

Guest
Guest
Guest
3 years ago
Reply to  Erika Morlan

So if a name was attached you would judge the opinion differently? Strange criteria but ok.

Erika Morlan
Guest
Erika Morlan
3 years ago
Reply to  Guest

A name, some credentials and a lack of name-calling and fear-mongering would incline me to listen more closely to someone’s opinion. Knowing that I won’t be called a moron for having my own opinion would incline me to judge your opinion differently. Having the courage to put your actual name out there as you are insulting people would incline me to want an actual discussion.

tax payer
Guest
tax payer
3 years ago
Reply to  Erika Morlan

but i think you are impersonating erika and you should stop. here is a hint, i can put any name i want online and still not be that person.

Susan Nolan
Guest
Susan Nolan
3 years ago
Reply to  Erika Morlan

Amen, Erika.
I’m proud to use my real name.

Toni Brockington
Guest
3 years ago
Reply to  Erika Morlan

Sensible thoughts, expressed well.

Bat Guano
Guest
Bat Guano
3 years ago
Reply to  tax payer

The Epidemiologists are in league with the Red China pinkos to impurify your precious bodily fluids

Dave Kirby
Guest
Dave Kirby
3 years ago
Reply to  tax payer

I think by now after you guys tell us what you think over and over we pretty much know where you stand. The more you beat your drum the more tiresome you become. Many here don’t agree with you . I will say you certainly are a melodramatic bunch. I have been back at work for weeks. Other than bars and dining in restaurants Garberville is pretty much open. Mask up and your patronage is welcome.

Guest
Guest
Guest
3 years ago
Reply to  Dave Kirby

Ditto. Yet it is not the melodramatic resisters who shut everyone up, was it? You can always refuse to serve someone without a mask. Just post a sign. They may not be happy but then people who object being told what to do by government fiat tend it respect the wishes of an individual. It not true for people who want the government to control individuals. Except for pot growers of course. Then the government can go to help.

Some Random Guy on the Internet
Guest
Some Random Guy on the Internet
3 years ago
Reply to  Dave Kirby

What I would tell anyone, Dave, is if you don’t like the comments, don’t read them.

Some things, you just can’t control.

Thanks for the invitation to come to Garberville. Even in times without an epidemic of fear, I would decline.

Garberville is something that actually scares me…

Francie Vogt
Guest
Francie Vogt
3 years ago
Reply to  tax payer

I’m sorry, but things seem to be going well for countries that have abided by W.H.O. suggestions as well as those of experts. Let’s reopen safely the first time! We are trying to control this virus. Should it get totally out of hand, we are all screwed and there will be less of a future for anyone, including granny. It would also be wise to ensure that testing, tracking, ppe’s, and equipment is readily available where needed.
There is more to learn everyday about covid19, and it’s different levels and mutations. Top scientist have said it may never go away. They have also said it could take as long 10 years or more to find a vaccine.
We need to work diligently with other nations to achieve the same goal. We also need a change our leadership. A leader that listens to the best of the best minds out there.
I believe if we are flexible and creative, we can work around this. Every place is different in many ways. We just need to be sensible, listen to the experts, and learn from our mistakes

Ullr Rover
Guest
Ullr Rover
3 years ago
HotCoffee
Guest
HotCoffee
3 years ago

It seems to me that people have different personal tolerances for risk.

For instance you couldn’t drag me on to the shuttle that’s supposed to blast off today.
For some other people it would be the thrill of their life.

Some people like to sit back and watch and see what happens to those that can’t wait to go first.

Judging other people doesn’t change their tolerances.

What we all have in common is the right to look at our own individual circumstance and decide for ourselves what level of risk we are willing to take.
What we believe will be best for ourselves, our families and communities.

That isn’t a right we should give up to anybody, because once given away
you never get it back.

Almost everything we do in life has some risk.
Even playing a game of baseball means you could get hit by the ball.

Guest
Guest
Guest
3 years ago
Reply to  HotCoffee

In a culture of Kardashians, influencers and partisan pundits, is it any wonder that who says means more that what’s said? As if life was a team sport with supporters bound to cheer no matter how poor the team does and opponents who they love to hate.

A year from now the fear of covid-19 will have receded, the resulting mess with have been worked around by those who are determined, some who have succumbed to the stress will stuck in blaming others for the rest of their lives and everyone in the middle will be distracted by latest complication on the public’s radar. Damn few will have made the connection between their behavior and the results except for a vague unease that things are not better. They just can’t think how it could be different.

HotCoffee
Guest
HotCoffee
3 years ago
Reply to  Guest

Guest….

Thoughtful and true.

P*** W***lies
Guest
P*** W***lies
3 years ago
Reply to  Guest

Some of us are making the connection right now.

Shelter in place fatigue, along with Jack Boot Thugs engaging in a very public execution.

Many of us have been sounding the alarm to the tolerance and apathy on display with important historical lessons.

Many are waking up to smell the coffee.

HT
Guest
HT
3 years ago

Sure, but what about the risk for everyone else? Take your risks. I’ll take mine. Mask up.

tax payer
Guest
tax payer
3 years ago
Reply to  HT

life is not fair. and on top of that the mortality rate is like .28%

Guest
Guest
Guest
3 years ago
Reply to  HT

Personally, I will wear a mask in public because it is a small sacrifice to make others feel safer. It might do some good too. Scared people do stupid things so it is better to give people a feeling of control.

However it is hard to keep a straight face under the mask when there is stuff like this site https://www.maskssavelives.org on line with it’s touting of the virtue of face masks by comparing the horror of non face mask countriesl death totals to the miraculous low death totals of face mask wearing countries. Complete with accompanying sale advertisements for face masks. Most made in China.

Such things ignore the low death rates of non face mask wearing countries like Iceland or New Zealand and ignores that some face mask wearing countries like Singapore, with it’s rate of infection higher than the US and questionably low death rate, and Japan, with its questionably low infection rate and, for a country that doesn’t report deaths accurately normally, a similar death rate to the US.

Truth is that a death rate has more to do with a country’s ability to cut off outside contacts bringing in infection and control its population’s behavior than wearing of face masks.

HotCoffee
Guest
HotCoffee
3 years ago

Sonoma County Sheriff Mark Essick doubled down Friday on his stunning announcement a day before that his deputies would stop enforcing Health Officer Dr. Sundari Mase’s public health order, a move likely to thrust the county into an explosive national debate about limits on liberty and economic activity amid the coronavirus pandemic.

Essick, who publicly complained that he’d been sidelined in key decisions and ignored by county supervisors and top administrators, confirmed his stance Friday evening, roughly 24 hours after his sudden statement, posted on social media, that he was pulling his deputies back from any enforcement of Mase’s health order. The move caught county supervisors and peers in law enforcement by surprise, and none came forward publicly to voice support in its wake.

Instead, the county’s top elected leaders and health authorities were drawn into a hastily arranged online meeting Friday morning where many thought they had secured a deal with Essick — one they intended to announce as a group in the afternoon, according to several officials at the meeting.

But that announcement never came, and Essick was said to have changed his mind several times throughout the afternoon, forging agreements in one phone call with fellow county leaders, and abruptly changing his position in the aftermath.

Then, in a 5 p.m. interview, he said his stance from Thursday would not change — that come Monday, his deputies would only educate the public about the local health order, but not enforce it. Speaking with emotion, Essick said he felt the county was “trading lives for lives at this point. All around me I see crushed families, crushed relationships, a crushed economy.”

“I’m not following this f–king health order, and my original statement that we’re done on June 1 stands until Dr. Mase is able to provide me with enough information that we’re on the right path,” Essick said.

more

https://www.pressdemocrat.com/news/10996255-181/sonoma-county-sheriff-reverses-course?trk_msg=RS7NHA39Q33K91600697THS85K&trk_contact=9BJIFDA52N6DI17FT70JT5ABG8&trk_module=new&trk_sid=C1HG205MLQ7BC35T74TUNLL4CC&utm_email=C4DCF5A3246124E0748DA4E38A&utm_source=listrak&utm_medium=email&utm_term=http%3a%2f%2fwww.pressdemocrat.com%2fnews%2f10996255-181%2fsonoma-county-sheriff-reverses-course&utm_campaign=pd_daily

P*** W***lies
Guest
P*** W***lies
3 years ago
Reply to  HotCoffee

Some People want To Be On The Right Side Of History.

Guest
Guest
Guest
3 years ago
Reply to  P*** W***lies

But usually only after others have made it safe to say what the right side is. Somehow it seems this kerfuffle has more to do with intransigent personalities than principle.

HotCoffee
Guest
HotCoffee
3 years ago

There will be more to deal with…. you might want to think about how you’re going to deal with it now.

CHANTELLE LEE
THE PRESS DEMOCRAT
May 29, 2020, 6:55AM

When Santa Rosa Junior College administrators started discussing moving the fall semester online because of the coronavirus pandemic, they had to plan for the possibility that a PG&E power shut-off could disrupt learning even further.

“It would be very difficult to remain open,” if the power is turned off, said college spokeswoman Erin Bricker.

“Even if it was limited to a small area of the district, we’d have a really hard time (because) not everybody would be operating under the same conditions,” she said.

Last year, PG&E cut power across Sonoma County five times, when a combination of high temperatures, extreme dryness and gusty winds increased the risk of the utility’s equipment sparking a fire. The planned outages stirred frustration among residents, business owners, school officials and students, who are now bracing for the possibility that the outages — and potential wildfires — will overlap with the COVID-19 pandemic and further disrupt their lives, work or education.

Sonoma County officials have been preparing for that overlap, and will meet over the summer with local organizations to further discuss contingency plans, said Chris Godley, the county’s emergency management director.

“We understand people are fatigued. We know what they’ve been through these last several years — certainly these last couple months have been more challenging than any of us thought it could be,” Godley said. “It’s going to come down to us as people, as neighbors, as families — our willingness to look out for one another and provide help to each other.”

and….

https://www.pressdemocrat.com/news/10950447-181/as-fire-season-approaches-sonoma?trk_msg=RS7NHA39Q33K91600697THS85K&trk_contact=9BJIFDA52N6DI17FT70JT5ABG8&trk_module=new&trk_sid=C1HG205MLQ7BC35T74TUNLL4CC&utm_email=C4DCF5A3246124E0748DA4E38A&utm_source=listrak&utm_medium=email&utm_term=http%3a%2f%2fwww.pressdemocrat.com%2fnews%2f10950447-181%2fas-fire-season-approaches-sonoma&utm_campaign=pd_daily

HotCoffee
Guest
HotCoffee
3 years ago

Their are people who try to do good and there are people that are evil,
Both reside in all races.

RedWoods
Guest
RedWoods
3 years ago

Get rid of all this nanny state medical generated rules & let us get back to having a real Humboldt life & throw this fear based insanity out!

If YOU are so fearful of this virus stay home, put on a REAL medical grade mask & continue quivering in fear in your home.

NO WAY law enforcement people should be used to enforce “rules” NOT based on real science but “suggestions” generated by people NOT experienced in the field.

I’m still waiting from a medical expert in the pandemic field with “real world” testing to prove the “social distancing” .

Its easy to find real information from REAL EXPERTS in their field on the mask issue with over 50 REAL references to support those conclusions . IF you really want to experience some FACTS!

https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/04/commentary-masks-all-covid-19-not-based-sound-data?

Guest
Guest
Guest
3 years ago
Reply to  Kym Kemp

Wait for it!

FanOfGuest
Guest
FanOfGuest
3 years ago
Reply to  Kym Kemp

Nm. Have a great day kym!

Free estimates
Guest
Free estimates
3 years ago
Reply to  Kym Kemp

Kym, please follow the link to the actual article published by the annals of internal medicine.

https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-2567

In the last paragraph of that article, “No direct evidence indicates that public mask wearing protects either the wearer or others. Given the severity of this pandemic and the difficulty of control, we suggest that the possible benefit of a modest reduction in transmission likely outweighs the possibility of harm. Reduced outward transmission and reduced contamination of the environment are the major proposed mechanisms, and we suggest appealing to altruism and the need to protect others.”

They admit that mask usage does not equate to protection of yourself or others. They admit that it is an emotional appeal to altruism. How does this prove your point?

In the comments section of that same article:
“George FitzGerald, PhD none (retired) 29 May 2020

A call to repeat a study on face mask effectiveness

I find it interesting that the authors did not mention the April 6th letter in the Annals of Internal Medicine on the “Effectiveness of Surgical and Cotton Masks in Blocking SARS–CoV-2” by Seongman, Bea et al.

The conclusion from this previous study stated: “In conclusion, both surgical and cotton masks seem to be ineffective in preventing the dissemination of SARS–CoV-2 from the coughs of patients with COVID-19 to the environment and external mask surface.” This relatively simple and straightforward study can and should be repeated by any number of institutions with access to Covid-19 patients. It might be modified to obtain more data, e.g. more patients and detecting viral particles at varying distances from the patient, but it shouldn’t be ignored by the medical community, the media or various governmental agencies.

If the results are shown to be accurate, it would have a major implication to the widespread public policy of mandating face mask. If surgical or cloth face mask are ineffective at blocking SARS–CoV-2, then the focus of public policy should be on social distancing, hand washing and development of a Covid-29 vaccine.

George FitzGerald, PhD”

And another poster gave this opinion:
“Kouji H. Harada, Mariko Harada Sassa Kyoto University 23 May 2020

A concern on limited direct evidence

We appreciate Clase and colleagues’ (1) effort to show potential efficacy of cloth mask to filter virus-containing aerosols. Its effect in community to prevent COVID-19 is worth investigated. However, we have several concerns on the article. Authors cited an unpublished review (2) on effects of face mask, and introduced that integrated odds ratios were between 0.81 and 0.95. Three of four cited odds ratios were derived in home environments where a member of household was infected with influenza-like illness. Only one odds ratio integrated from three studies conducted in university residence and during Hajj pilgrimage was 0.94 (95% CI: 0.75, 1.19).

Even if the 6% reduction in transmission risk is true, the situations are difficult to be extrapolated to the general community. Public health intervention for publics to wear mask may reduce a transmission of SARS-CoV-2 without harm. If authorities can spend enough budget, advocation and distribution of materials are feasible. However, implementation of physical distancing, hand hygiene and sanitation is not perfect. How should authorities allocate resources? Cost-effectiveness of cloth mask should be evaluated with comparisons to other options.

1. Clase CM, Fu EL, Joseph M, et al. Cloth Masks May Prevent Transmission of COVID-19: An Evidence-Based, Risk-Based Approach. Annals of Internal Medicine https://doi.org/10.7326/M20-2567

2. Brainard JS, Jones N, Lake I, et al. Facemasks and similar barriers to prevent respiratory illness such as COVID-19: a rapid systematic review. Preprint. Posted online 6 April 2020. medRxiv. doi:10.1101/2020.04.01.20049528″

Reading the original articles from the source is important. Articles like you suggested from secondary sites like medical express.com allows journalists to skew information and to omit pertinent facts found in the conclusions of scientific publications. I’m not trying to insult you in any way. I appreciate the hard work you put into this site. But it really irritates me when you or others unintentionally spread misinformation while representing a position of authority (in this case the moderator of a news blog).

Free estimates
Guest
Free estimates
3 years ago
Reply to  RedWoods

Another article stating that masks don’t work.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMp2006372

Your article,
https://www.umc.edu/news/News_Articles/2020/04/COVID-19-Social-Distancing.html
is not a scientific paper. It is an opinion piece with zero references. Look at the text in the inset of the graph. “These data are for illustrative purposes only and arenot to be taken as predictions for real world purposes” A grammatically incorrect disclaimer. That should clue you in to how accurate that article is. It is also from April 1st. Why is one article outdated, but a different one from the same date is not?

And yes, I do require more than one infectious disease expert’s opinion to make my own. That’s why peer reviewed scientific papers are judged by multiple scientists in the field in which the paper is published.

Jesus, Chris
Guest
Jesus, Chris
3 years ago
Reply to  Free estimates

F.E. :
Thank you for your post, and the link.

Even if we require everyone in the hospital to wear a mask all day, we still must wash our hands, and take every precaution to avoid transmission to patients and staff. Also, people with symptoms, need to stay home, and get tested, especially hospital employees.

Studies will vary, opinions will vary, but only exposure/recovery/immunity will mitigate this infectious condition, and reduce deaths from COVID-19-associated causes.

Free estimates
Guest
Free estimates
3 years ago
Reply to  Jesus, Chris

Agreed Chris. Thanks for your post.

HotCoffee
Guest
HotCoffee
3 years ago

I’m not endorsing this site but this is an interesting list… i haven’t found one beyond 2015

Dead Scientists 2004-2015

look at their areas of expertise.

https://www.stevequayle.com/index.php?s=146

It seems being an expert can be a dangerous business.

RedWoods
Guest
RedWoods
3 years ago

Kym, EXACTLY WHERE in ANY of the articles you so efficiently posted give the REFERENCES to scientific studies that verify the conclusions. Saying it may or might help are not scientific evaluations!

Kym,Are you as a blogger telling me the CIDRAP article is not valid? Or that the NIOSH study of filter performance isn’t valid?

The article I continue to reference is from experts in the field CIDRAP ,THE CENTER FOR INFECTIOUS DISEASE RESEARCH AND POLICY with 52 medical references.

The people that wrote this article ARE experts in the field .
From her Biography:
“She studies the role of personal protective equipment (such as masks and respirators) and ventilation systems in reducing exposure to dangerous inhalants in health care and small businesses”

THANK YOU Free Estimates for links & great explanation!!

Free estimates
Guest
Free estimates
3 years ago
Reply to  RedWoods

Hey Redwoods. Glad I could help. Let’s be respectful and not poke mama bear right now. I feel I made my point. I’m not trying to convince others. I’m trying to provide the best information I’m privy to at this time. Others are free to make their own decisions. Scientific information changes and I’m open to new ideas, but we need to be vigilant in challenging sources that are misleading. Have a great day!

RedWoods
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RedWoods
3 years ago

This mask requirement issue hits home with me. I can’t breath more than 10 minutes or so in these masks and I’m not allowed in Costco,Winco,grocery stores ,post office etc. I even canceled my June echocardiogram because they say I have to wear a mask! Try to imagine whats its like attempting to wear a mask for 30-40 minutes shopping when your heart has a few blocks & you can’t get enough air.

Though the county rule & Costco CEO letter mentions individuals who are unable to wear a face covering due to a medical condition that is not what I’ve found actually happens. You get rejected at the door!

When experts question the use of masks & the 10% to 40% effectiveness of the cloth masks the county allows I feel I have plenty of reasons to make a point.

Free estimates
Guest
Free estimates
3 years ago
Reply to  RedWoods

Redwoods. I’m sorry to hear that your situation. I also have a condition that prevents me from wearing a mask. I’ve seen the full spectrum of responses from the community. Super pissed off, super understanding and everything in between. I’m lucky that I’ve been shopping at my neighborhood market for years, so the employees don’t bother me. Other customers have and I try to explain my situation. Most people mellow out after talking to me. Some don’t.

I haven’t made it to Costco yet, but my strategy would still be the same. Just walk in. Ignore anyone who tries to stop you at the door. Walk in with confidence and most people won’t say anything. I’ve been to grocery stores, hardware stores, automotive stores, the post office, as well as the pharmacy. The worst complaint I’ve experienced so far is, “Just make sure you wear a mask in next time.” I smile and act polite and that’s about it. The employees don’t want to cause a scene. If that doesn’t work, explain that you have a medical condition. They have no right under HIPPA to ask you what your medical condition is. If they tell you to leave anyway, threaten to sue them under the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA). Take pictures of them and ask for identification. I guarantee they will fold like a house of cards.

I’m sorry that you’re having a difficult time getting supplies. Be strong. I wish you good health and courage in dealing with others during this craziness. Be well and I hope to hear from you soon!

Beach Walker
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Beach Walker
3 years ago

Public health often takes a simple rules one-size-fits-all approach. If x% of the population complies, then the infection situation is improved by y%. We’re not robots, each of us has the capacity for good judgement, but they don’t trust us to figure it out individually. The fact that some of us have extraordinarily bad judgement is not everyone’s fault. Because of isolation, I’m not likely to be carrying any infection. But indoors I always mask up to blend in and avoid getting people upset. If you see me moving slowly like a cripple, it’s not because I’ve suddenly aged, but because of the limited oxygen my lungs can pull through those damn things.

Francie Vogt
Guest
Francie Vogt
3 years ago

I’m sorry, but things seem to be going well for countries that have abided by W.H.O. suggestions as well as those of experts. Let’s reopen safely the first time! We are trying to control this virus. Should it get totally out of hand, we are all screwed and there will be less of a future for anyone, including granny. It would also be wise to ensure that testing, tracking, ppe’s, and equipment is readily available where needed.
There is more to learn everyday about covid19, and it’s different levels and mutations. Top scientist have said it may never go away. They have also said it could take as long 10 years or more to find a vaccine.
We need to work diligently with other nations and help their countries too.