Six New Cases: March 31 Results on COVID-19 Testing From the County of Humboldt
Press release from Humboldt County COVID19 – Joint Information Center:
Six new COVID-19 cases were confirmed today, bringing the total number of cases to 27 since the first positive diagnosis of a Humboldt County resident in late February.
Three of the 27 cases are believed to be community spread. All other active cases are under investigation.
Humboldt County Health Officer Dr. Teresa Frankovich said, “By far, the best way to prevent exposure to COVID-19 is to stay home.” Dr. Frankovich issued an updated shelter-in-place order on March 30. To read answers to frequently asked questions about changes to the order, click here: humboldtgov.org/DocumentCenter/View/84963
For the most recent guidance, visit cdc.gov or cdph.ca.gov. Local information is available at humboldtgov.org or during business hours by contacting [email protected] or calling 707-441-5000.
Follow us on Facebook: @HumCoCOVID19,
Instagram: @HumCoCOVID19,
Twitter: @HumCoCOVID19, and
Humboldt Health Alert: humboldtgov.org/HumboldtHealthAlert###
—Total new positive cases confirmed on March 31: 6
Daily COVID-19 case report for March 31
Total number of positive cases: 27
Total number of active cases: 26
Total number of hospitalizations: 1Total number of people tested by Public Health Laboratory: 364
Total number of people tested by all other sources: 332
(Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, California Department of Public Health and commercial labs)After receiving additional supplies, the Public Health Laboratory currently has a capacity of approximately 750 tests and can process about 40 samples a day with an approximate turnaround time of 48 hours.
Earlier test results:
- March 24 Results on COVID-19 Testing From the County of Humboldt
- March 25: Results on COVID-19 Testing From the County of Humboldt
- March 26: Two More COVID-19 Cases, One Hospitalized
- March 27 By the Numbers: Results on COVID-19 Testing From the County of Humboldt
- Four More Positive Cases–March 28 Results on COVID-19 Testing From the County of Humboldt
- Three More Positive Cases–March 30 Results on COVID-19 Testing From the County of Humboldt
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And, here we go!
Welcome to the State of Jefferson.
Can we get any information on where these people went and when? What part of Humboldt?
Nope! Even though everywhere else in the world releases this information, our esteemed Dr and those in charge here behind the Redwood Curtain say NOPE, YOU’LL NEVER KNOW
Almost makes you say B.S.. Seems if someone quarantined and didn’t know where they got it , someone else would know and it would be on here somewhere..
In Mendo they tell what area each case is in.
HIPPA makes any of that very difficult, as it should. But I can tell you that I know several people who had it who couldn’t be tested. If you want to know, one of them is in McKinleyville and two in Eureka. But there are hundreds of infected people in our community, maybe thousands most of whom do not even know it.
Again. Youre the smartest person on the internet.. If they didnt get tested then they dont know do they..
No, they begged to be tested because they had all of the symptoms. But sure, it could have been something else. Not likely though. We’ll never know.
What do you think of this, Eric?
If the standards of risk to the carrier must be so high that they’re practically certain they have Covid-19 before they can get tested, the results of testing should show a rate of positive cases much higher than what the general (unsuspecting or unlikely to have it) population would show.
Yet at the same time, many people think they may have had it already, undiagnosed, and that probably many more people are carrying it, asymptomatic, than the figures show.
These two points seem to contradict each other. The resolution would be either:
~The tests are faulty and are NOT showing positives where they should. Or…
~There currently are very few people positive for the virus in Humboldt County, if even when testing those most likely we get only 27 positives out of 696 tested (as of yesterday’s report, 3/31), or about 1 out of 26.
What do you think, Eric?
PS Considering that only one in 27 of those positives has been serious enough to hospitalize (national/international figures show something more like one in 6), it looks like we’re doing pretty well here. Or maybe people are just more willing to tough it out at home, rather than go subject themselves to the medical establishment, until/unless it gets horribly dangerous to go without professional help and/or mechanical assistance.
Hiding behind HIPPA
That’s bullshit about HIPPA not allowing cases to be tabulated by (approximate) location, as Los Angeles County does. I’m sure that would have been among Frankovich’s rationale for not doing so if she thought people would buy it.
Glad to hear that your friends got better. How do you know they had coronavirus and not flu if they weren’t tested? Have they had antibody tests?
They don’t know for certain, but they had the precise symptoms, with one of them even losing their ability to taste. They self-quarantined, but because they weren’t in serious danger they didn’t qualify. One went in and her temperature was only 102.5. Needed to be a degree higher to be tested.
That would be quite similar as to what I went through.
Doesn’t apply here check the law
Come on, Dr. Frankovich… Humboldt county should be using this format for public info: https://sonomacounty.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=21a1653b79ba42039ff22bcb85fa5b19
Yes Dr Frankovich! You won’t even tell First Responder’s what community the cases are in. There’s no excuse for withholding that information from Police, Fire and Ambulance. Full disclosure for First Responder’s and stop playing politics with their safety.
Or businesses who might be exposed to elevated risk from a local cluster, who need to take further steps to protect themselves.
Can we stop people from outside area’s flying into ACV? How about just stopping all flights around the country for a couple to a few weeks. That is a key way to flatten the curve.
🕯🌳To late for that. Its here and its spreading. We’re not testing enough, but it’s not really our fault. When they got rid of alot of the Health Care system in the last three years it got rid of our preparedness for something like this.🖖🐸🕯
Keep ’em flyin’ in then!
And the privatization has everybody doing their own thing – really hard to coordinate.
It’s not even remotely surprising that we have community spread given how stupid and/or unthinking a lot of people are still being when it comes to dealing with this virus. I still see unrelated kids getting together to hang out, people not keeping distance, and there’s still a lot of traffic on the neighborhood streets for a stay-at-home order.
This means even people who are trying to be careful are going to get exposed and some of them are going to die despite their best efforts to avoid the virus simply because someone else couldn’t be bothered to be careful.
See a lot of folks not taking it seriously. Gas stations seem to be a place to stand around and BS for a certain popular group of essentials.
A prime factor that will kill people in any emergency is the lack of information related to the threat. There will always be ignorant jerks who don’t follow the rules. I suggest Frankovich drop the Chinese Communist Party line of lies by omission and give the people with brains and experience a fighting chance to make a difference.
Crippling our decision making process by withholding information we have the right to is not smart. If vigilantism is her concern, she needs to think about what is going to happen when enough people realize they don’t have a clear picture of what is going on. People will turn paranoid and start enforcing their own stay off the street rules.
It’s a difficult decision, but truth always outshines lies. Too bad Frankovich isn’t smart enough to realize this. Maybe she is too busy making sure the needles get passed out to really think this through.
I hope she has informed LE where the concentrations are, so they can stay safe and do a good job of keeping the mushrooms safe. If not, she is really going to have some blame on her shoulders for what people will start doing to each other.
Don’t wait until it’s too late Dr.
Ok for One, thing About it? If you had the virus would you want people to Know. I on the other hand would be mortified. Then I would stay out of The Public Eye. It sounds as though 14 day quarantine Isn’t cutting it. So if your coughing and sneezing clean your self up Especially before You go out. And keep away from others. I assuming we all have it. And until you, yourself get tested you all out there should to.
[…] we have 6 new cases in Humboldt, bringing our total to 27 with 3 confirmed as “community spread” and others under […]
The more the testing is done , the more we’ll find asymptomatic citizens in the community. At what “infected” number does the DHHS Frankostein draw the line in the sand and say enough-were going to stricter isolation measures?
The virtual town hall meeting last night was a joke. Channel 11 Crappy video, crappy sound, boring boring boring!!!!!!!!
Hard line road (101,299,36)and ACV airlines closures need to be in place to isolate Humboldt County. Only supply trucks in-nothing else. No Amtrac/Greyhound/non residents. If you were lazy and didn’t get your drivers license changed to the local residence, then guess what bubba-you’re out. No id-tough -hit bubba
The lack of sincere personal isolation is making this spread worse. Stay home, stay inside, stop wandering around like a f–king zombie!!!!
Me and my family have lived here for a long time and we just moved into our new house so how are you going to tell me if I don’t have my proper address on my license I need to get the f*** out of town that is disrespectful and rude as I cannot get my license update because the DMV is closed [edit]
There’s something troubling about current conditions. The death rate is starting to go through the roof worldwide. When this thing first started the death rate was 2%. About a month ago it was 3.4%. Today it’s a hair under 5%. And Italy is at 11% while Spain is close to 9%. Even the US is increasing and has almost doubled from a month or so ago. Though still relatively low, it has gone from 1.1% to 2.1% now.
The reason I find this troubling is because with increased testing, testing people with mild or no symptoms, as opposed to the early days when only the sick were being tested, the death rate should be going down, shouldn’t it?
Is it mutating.
They are not testing people with mild symptoms.
In addition, there’s a statistical artifact due to nonfatal cases taking longer to resolve than the typical interval between a serious case being confirmed and the patient dying. When resolved cases are closer to equilibrium with new ones, that artifact will diminish.
They are in many countries.
That reflects a huge problem for this country. One that will lead to many deaths.
No. They are not. Only in South Korea and Germany.
“On last Thursday Dr. Fauci co-authored a report on the coronavirus in the New England Journal of Medicine.
The report, entitled “Covid-19 — Navigating the Uncharted”, was co-authored by Anthony S. Fauci, M.D., H. Clifford Lane, M.D., and Robert R. Redfield, M.D.
Here’s a direct quote from that report:
“If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.2“
Please note that the case fatality rate is not ten percent, not five percent, not even one percent, but far, far lower than that.
According to the authors, the case fatality rate is only 0.1 percent (only one-tenth of one percent).
WHO backed off of their 3.4% mortality rate statistic… one can look it up.
Statistical shenanigans aside, this is still one mean virus and I hope we can keep the suffering down on the northcoast by doing all the right things. Stay healthy y’all and take of your elders!
🕯🌳Riddle me this nice people of Humboldt in the last three months how many Amtrak buses or Greyhound buses have passed through this area that either started in New York City or State or just from the San Francisco Bay area that have gone unchecked?🖖🐸🕯
How about people try not eating and try a two to three week fast. Mom hasn’t eaten in 3 weeks and she look’s great! The body heals when you stop eating bad food.
Almost like taking In too many media calories.
Keep it Lean
I wonder if we are going maximum testing possible?.
What a shit show.
South Korea can test more
Really
Ok, so for the numbers “perspective” discussion and “it’s just a flu” debate, here:
Today we lost at least 800 people to Sars-Cov2 in the US.
In 2018 the US vehicle crash deaths averaged out to 95 drivers a day.
https://www.iihs.org/topics/fatality-statistics/detail/state-by-state
And we didn’t stop driving on roads and freeways, due to sheltering in place to avoid car accidents.
In 2018, “the worst flu season in 40 years” the CDC said the US lost 80,000 people to influenza.
https://www.statnews.com/2018/09/26/cdc-us-flu-deaths-winter/
That would average out to 225 deaths a day. The worst season in 40 years, mind you, without travel restrictions and physical distancing.
Today in NY alone, 225 people died of Covid. More tomorrow.
800 today in the USA.
That’s with physical distancing and shutdown of non essential business.
Sars-Cov2 is doubling the death rate of the next two biggest killers combined.
And that is with an almost nation-wide shelter in place.
I’m optimistic if we keep up these sheltering in place concepts for a while.
—In 2018, “the worst flu season in 40 years” the CDC said the US lost 80,000 people to influenza.
https://www.statnews.com/2018/09/26/cdc-us-flu-deaths-winter/
That would average out to 225 deaths a day. The worst season in 40 years, mind you, without travel restrictions and physical distancing.
Today in NY alone, 225 people died of Covid. More tomorrow.—
You extrapolated your number based on dividing 80,000 by 365 days I believe, when the link states winter flu season. Using a 120 or 180 day figure for flu season, one gets approximately 440 a day, or 660 a day dying in that flu season.
If it is a four month season:Peak Months of Flu Activity
“Here is a breakdown of the “peak months of flu activity” over a 34-year period between 1982 and 2016:
February was the peak month for flu activity in 14 of the 34 flu seasons, making it the most common month for peak flu activity.
December followed February, with the highest flu activity in seven of the 34 flu seasons.
March is third, with flu activity peaking this month in six seasons during the 34-season period.
January was the least common month to facilitate peak flu activity, with the flu peaking this month in only five of the 34 flu seasons.”
Each pandemic has an explosive rate period, then crests and tapers off, as, with the help of government intervention, has happened in a number of countries. When we derive data from the explosive rate period it can lead to lots of bad data, as now the WHO has backed off of its 3.4% mortality rate which prompted draconian measures. Fauci co-authored a report on the coronavirus in the New England Journal of Medicine.
The report, entitled “Covid-19 — Navigating the Uncharted”, was co-authored by Anthony S. Fauci, M.D., H. Clifford Lane, M.D., and Robert R. Redfield, M.D.
Here’s a direct quote from that report:
“If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.2“
Please note that the case fatality rate is not ten percent, not five percent, not even one percent, but far, far lower than that.”
When areas, NYC and Italy for example are in the explosive rate phase, it is easy to extrapolate a false worse case number game of a bare-tested population onto the future of this epidemic, as has been done. We don’t know, we don’t know, we don’t know. A number of regions are leveling out. Whatever happens in Humboldt County, you can bet that the authorities will take credit for their interventions…. And the same responses will be rolled out in the future, I just hope that we can avoid Gate’s idea:” MIT has been developing the quantum tattoo at Bill Gates’ direction and funding. MIT researchers have “found a covert way to embed the record of a vaccination directly in a patient’s skin rather than documenting it electronically or on paper—and their low-risk tracking system could greatly simplify the process of maintaining accurate vaccine records, especially on a larger scale,” according to ScienceAlert.Com. The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation funded MIT’s research for the invisible mark, which was published in the journal, Science Translational Medicine, in December 2019. “The invisible “tattoo” accompanying the vaccine is a pattern made up of minuscule quantum dots – tiny semiconducting crystals that reflect light – that glows under infrared light.”’ One can only hope that they won’t be tacky enough to inject it on the forehead 😉
So, presuming that we did not restock masks after the last pandemic,and the Gates group had a Pandemic conference last fall… wouldn’tcha think that that group might have noted the lack of face masks available? AND SCREAMED! Some have tried to criticize Trump for making reductions here and there…. but the lack of face masks in storage is a no brainer, and should have been a NY Times headline after that conference. end of soapbox, it’s a lovely day, stay healthy everyone!
“Using a 120 or 180 day figure for flu season, one gets approximately 440 a day, or 660 a day dying in that flu season.” Obviously, I reverse the order of per day deaths, sorry.
That is true about the year long breakdown.
But again, that flu stat breakdown is without physical distancing and closing non-essential business.
And doctors have vaccines to protect themselves. Italy has lost over 65 doctors to Covid so far, how many needed ICU treatments?
How many are we about to lose?
And, there is no apparent “season” for SARS-Cov2 yet.
We are just getting started here at the end of our “peak flu” season.
But even with your shortest flu season breakdown of 660 per day, in the worst season in 40 years, Covid is still killing more that that combined with car accidents.
… a good answer Bryan… we don’t know what this one is doing except that at this time, some countries healths are improving and some are getting worse— the long term picture hasn’t revealed itself, nor has the ‘explosion rate’ period in America fully taken off . Statistical mortality rates diminishing out as per the WHO epidemiologist and Fauci, is good news, but it does nothing to lessen how lethal this virus is for many who contract it. It’s heartbreaking to follow how many heroic front line medical personnel are risking their lives and losing them in an effort to save lives. Such heroic people!
With active cases set to pass 200k and rising at the rate they are, we’ll be looking at four-figure daily death tolls for some weeks. And that’s if we’re lucky.
About the only good news is that the doubling time for active cases has increased from between three and four days to between four and five days since about the 25th. Maybe we’ll see the increase settling into a linear rate somewhere around “only” 30k/day (most recently between 21k-22k/day).
99 bottles of beer on the wall, 99 bottles of beer! Take one down, pass it around, 98 bottles of beer on the wall…
We are in good shape here in Del Norte so far. (Knock on wood) There are some test that haven’t come back yet that are questionable.
I’m in public safety and we have made sure to take every precaution possible but as I’m going to and from work, I have seen more vehicles from Washington and New York in the last 2 weeks than I ever have!
While I’m sympathetic for the people traveling and trying to get away from these places, It is not appreciated.
I can’t wrap my mind around why someone would think it is okay to travel from somewhere hit so hard to a small rural community and willing potentially expose people all around them.
I’m going to go out on a limb here and say that I dont think it would be much appreciated if the tables where turned.
Please stay home and help stop the spread!
Stay safe wherever you are in the world.
If any of those out-of-state travelers lodge in Humboldt, they and anyone providing lodging are in violation of the shelter-in-place order unless they are on essential business.
The Humboldt COVID compliance tip line is 707-441-3022.
What’s with Honsal and his utility belt and the Big Iron on his hip? Is he trying to be intimidating? And don’t give me the crap he has to wear his side arm. What does he think someone is going to commit a crime and rob the health experts? I have seen sheriffs in other areas wearing a sports jacket. Maybe he thinks the Gestapo look is what the people in Humboldt County need to see. We are fighting a disease not a group of gunslingers. Lose the weapon.
Probably been watching Fox’s new show, Deputy. Terrible show by the way.
Has anyone heard that Open Door Eureka Clinic is calling patients to tell them the doctor they recently saw has tested positive and they now need to self isolate due to exposure….?