[UPDATE 9:00 p.m. Evacuation Expanded to the Coast] Kincade Fire is Forcing Evacuations in Healdsburg and Windsor as the Power Shuts Down

Screenshot of Caltrans' Quickmap as of 2:37 p.m.

Screenshot of Caltrans’ Quickmap as of 2:37 p.m. Red lines and triangles indicate areas with challenging traffic conditions.

The information here comes after a reader posted, “My daughter just telephoned, in tears, from Santa Rosa saying that Healdsburg and Windsor are on alert to evacuate – and that 20,000 acres have burned.”

A quick google search revealed that residents are getting emergency alerts, some with orders to evacuate immediately.

EVACUATION ORDERS
The following areas are under an evacuation order.  This is mandatory.  Please be out of the following areas by 4 PM today. This is a large area. See the map to confirm if you are under evacuation orders.
Zone 2- Highway 128 North Knights Valley area to the Napa County line.
Zone 3- Highway 101 corridor from Geyserville south through the Town of Windsor. This includes the entire City of Healdsburg, the Town of Windsor, and all areas east of Chalk Hill Road area.

Others are under warning they may have to evacuate soon.

EVACUATION WARNING
These areas are under an evacuation warning.  This means you need to be ready to evacuate.  This is a large area. See the map to confirm if you are under an evacuation warning. If you feel unsafe, evacuate.
Zone 4- The Dry Creek Valley west to Forestville.
Zone 5- Larkfield and Mark West Drainage.
NEW Zone 7 – West of Sebastopol to the coast, north of Bodega Highway, and south of Stewarts Point/Skaggs Springs Road.

The directions being given to those under [the first] evacuation orders and warning in Sonoma County are:

[Orders for the enlarged area are below in the UPDATE.]

INSTRUCTIONS
Highway 101 is open in both directions right now.  Evacuation centers are the Santa Rosa Vets Hall, Petaluma Vets Hall, or the Petaluma Fairgrounds. The Sonoma County Fairgrounds are open to large animals only.
If you can’t evacuate due to medical conditions or advanced age, call 911 for help.
If you have questions, call 211.
Follow the Sheriff’s Office on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram for updates.

Transportation support for people without cars was provided until 3 p.m. this afternoon for the first evacuation.

If you have mobility issues and need transportation, call the Community Center at 707-431-3301 by 3 PM today. For able-bodied folks who need a ride: We will have buses staged at the City Hall parking lot, 401 Grove St., to take you out of town. The last bus leaves at 3 PM today,

[UPDATE 9:00 p.m.] The evacuation area grew about an hour ago.  70 to 80 mph winds are expected in the area.  The Kincade Fire is only 11% contained.

This is an Alert issued by the Sonoma County Sheriff’s Office at 8:21p.m.

New evacuation order announced at press conference for west of Sebastopol to the coast.

NEW evacuation order announced at press conference.
Effective Immediately – See attached map or visit socoemergency.org/maps.

This is the mandatory evacuation order announced at the press conference. Everyone west of Sebastopol, north of Bodega Highway, and south of Stewarts Point-Skaggs Springs Road must leave. This is a large area. See the map to confirm if you are under evacuation orders. It includes these communities:
Dry Creek Valley
Mark West/Larkfield area
Fulton
Forestville
Guerneville
Occidental
Jenner
Bodega Bay

If you can’t evacuate due to medical conditions or advanced age, call 911 for help. If you have questions, call 211 or visit socoemergency.org. Follow the Sheriff’s Office on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram for updates.

Instructions:

Evacuate now if you are in the evacuation zone.

Incident Update for the Kincade Fire as of 7.pm.

vital public information

page 2

Shelters are available in Petaluma for evacuees.

PETALUMA SHELTERS OPENING TO SUPPORT MANDATORY EVACUATIONS FOR TOWN OF WINDSOR AND CITY OF HEALDSBURG

Due to concerns about the Kincaide fire growing during tonight’s anticipated wind event, the County Sheriff has issued a mandatory evacuation for residents living in the Town of Windsor and the City of Healdsburg. The Sheriff also announced evacuation warnings for additional areas.  See the Sheriff announcement for additional info about evacuation warnings.

To support evacuees, Petaluma has opened shelters at the following locations:

  • Sonoma Marin Fairgrounds, 175 Fairgrounds Drive
  • Petaluma Community Center, 320 N McDowell Blvd

HOW YOU CAN HELP

Petaluma People Services will be coordinating volunteers and donations.  While we understand that Petalumans stand ready to help, we ask that you stay home and take care of your family, neighbors, and friends.  As soon as we need volunteers or any donations, we will send out additional information.  To sign up to volunteer please send an email to [email protected]g or call 707-529-1201.  At this time, we do not need donations, however, if you would like to donate new, unused items, please take them to Kenilworth Teen Center located at 150 Fairgrounds Dr.

The San Francisco Chronicle more detailed coverage.

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11 comments

  • 😭 😭 😭 😭 😭

  • This shit going to burn to the beach???? Those are big towns. Scary as fuc. Everybody be safe don’t do stupid shit please.

    • I’m sure they want to get people out of the western areas as those roads are windy and very slow and there are few roads. If they wait too long to evacuate people could be trapped in traffic. If you were on the beach smoke inhalation could be very bad. I think they are not takng chances.

      It’s almost 8PM and my friends there are collecting stuff in order to leave now. They had very little notice. She says all shelters and motels are full- she was working to place people with medical needs earlier today, but she herself has no place to go and has medical needs.

  • Thank goodness they have buses stationed to evacuate people. Something to think about up here where there aren’t any to get ready for emergencies.

  • They’ve now made it mandatory.

    URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE
    CALIFORNIA EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY SAN FRANCISCO CALIFORNIA
    RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
    734 PM PDT SAT OCT 26 2019

    THIS IS A MESSAGE FROM THE SONOMA COUNTY DEPARTMENT OF EMERGENCY
    MANAGEMENT.

    AN EVACUATION ORDER HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS. DRY
    CREEK VALLEY, MARK WEST, LARKFIELD AREA, FULTON, FORESTVILLE,
    GUERNEVILLE, OCCIDENTAL, JENNER, BODEGA BAY. THIS INCLUDES ALL
    AREAS WEST OF SEBASTOPOL NORTH OF BODEGA HIGHWAY AND SOUTH OF
    STEWARTS POINT SKAGGS SPRINGS ROAD.

    YOU NEED TO LEAVE IMMEDIATELY.

  • I can only assume that they are expecting the fire to jump 101. West of 101 is mountainous dense forest. If the winds reach levels expected the potential for a crown fire is very real, and yes, could travel to the coast in a short period of time. A crown fire can move at speeds close to the sustained speed of the wind. I should say that it can’t maintain that speed, sustained speed would be 10 to 20 mph.

    It’s gonna be a long demanding night for fire fighters and the local population. Pray it doesn’t get across 101.

  • I’ve only been in them a number of times, but the forests west of 101 are some of the most beautiful 2nd growth redwood forests we have left, as there are fewer acres of 2nd growth redwood left than there are old growth. Please keep them safe God.

    And I worded the above wrong and worse than it is. A crown fire can move at speeds 10 to 20 mph when all aspects are perfect but only briefly. 3 to 5 mph spread is more common. That still puts the coast close.

  • A good site to check on there conditions.

    National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
    Eureka, CA

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    Area Forecast Discussion
    Issued by NWS Eureka, CA

    Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
    Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28

    000
    FXUS66 KEKA 262156
    AFDEKA

    AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
    National Weather Service Eureka CA
    256 PM PDT Sat Oct 26 2019

    .SYNOPSIS…Strong east-northeast winds will support critical fire
    weather conditions across portions of southeast Humboldt, southern
    Trinity, and interior Mendocino counties tonight through early
    Monday morning. Otherwise, an upper ridge centered offshore will
    favor mild and dry weather during the next seven days.

    &&

    .DISCUSSION…Forecast thinking is largely unchanged this afternoon
    as a potent shortwave trough dives southward through the Cascades,
    setting up a potentially significant wind event and subsequent
    critical fire weather concerns to commence late this evening across
    portions of northwest California.

    Model cross sections and forecast soundings continue to support
    mountain wave development along the lee slopes of ridges as the
    shortwave moves south across the area tonight. Mountain wave
    development would further augment synoptic scale east-
    northeasterlies, resulting in peak gust potential from 60 to 80 mph.
    This will be particularly true downwind of the higher ridges late
    tonight into early Sunday morning. The High Wind Watch has thus been
    upgraded to a warning across portions of southeast Humboldt,
    southern Trinity, and interior Mendocino counties as model guidance
    and observational trends continue to point to a high-end wind
    event along area ridges. Critical fire weather conditions are
    expected as well in association with the strong winds and a very
    dry air mass in place across the region (see the fire weather
    discussion located below for more information).

    It should be noted that although breezy conditions are also
    expected along the coast from this afternoon into this evening,
    these winds will remain well below the warning level winds
    expected along and downwind of some of the inland ridges. Coastal
    winds will generally max out in the 15 to 25 mph range, perhaps
    with some gusts to around 35 mph this evening.

    Otherwise, no rain is expected during the next seven days due to
    persistent upper-level ridging occurring in the vicinity of the West
    Coast. In addition, mild afternoon conditions are expected through
    next week, though morning temperatures near freezing may occur
    across interior valleys as cold dry continental air drains south and
    west across the area Saturday night and Sunday night. Due to the
    expected winds, the coldest temperatures will mainly be confined to
    the deepest valleys. Locations just inland from the Redwood Coast
    will see nighttime temperatures drop into the upper 30s. Gradual
    airmass modification/moderation is then expected to occur during
    the remainder of next week.

    Another trough dropping into the Great Basin next week will bring
    the potential for another round of gustier winds in the
    Tuesday/Wednesday time frame, however at this time winds look to
    be significantly weaker than with this weekend`s event, with the
    greater impacts displaced well to the south and east of NW
    California.

    CB/JMG/SEC

    &&

    .AVIATION…Low ceilings at the coast quickly dissipated this
    morning and were replaced with widespread VFR conditions and strong,
    gusty northwesterly winds along the coast. These winds are expected
    to persist along the coast through this afternoon then significantly
    weaken this evening. There is potential for marginal low level wind
    shear along the coast this evening as the lowest level of the
    atmosphere decouples from strong northeasterly winds present aloft.
    However if it develops this threat should be short lived, as the
    altitude of the nighttime inversion quickly increases later this
    evening, pushing the northeasterly wind core aloft well above 2000
    ft AGL. Conditions remain VFR across the interior for the next TAF
    period, however LLWS is possible early tomorrow morning, dependent
    on if the air in the lowest levels of interior valleys decouples as
    well. /TDJ

    &&

    .MARINE…Satellite scatterometer wind data currently is showing
    solid gale force winds present across the outer waters. These are
    expected to peak in strength this afternoon before slowly weakening
    overnight. Model guidance indicates localized gale force gusts
    will also be possible downwind of Cape Mendocino and near Pt St
    George inside 10nm, however the main threat will be large steep
    hazardous seas propagating nearshore, generated from the stronger
    wind cores offshore. Winds and seas will start to settle down on
    Sunday, though steep northerly waves will probably persist in the
    outer waters through the day as winds shift around to the east-
    northeast. Otherwise, lighter winds and lower seas can be expected
    over much of the forecast area early next week. /JT&TDJ

    &&

    .FIRE WEATHER…A midlevel shortwave trough is forecast to move
    south across northern California tonight. As that occurs, a
    strong area of surface high pressure will spread south over
    northern California and the adjacent Great Basin. Intense east-
    northeast flow at or above 50 kt will develop over ridges. In
    addition, model forecast soundings indicate a stable layer will be
    located near 3000 feet MSL. The combination of intense cross
    barrier flow, a ridge top inversion, and a critical level
    associated with flow reversal aloft with the mid-level shortwave
    will favor the development of highly amplified mountain wave
    structures supportive of peak wind gusts from 60 to 80 mph
    downwind from higher ridges. In addition, northeast winds will
    usher in a critically dry boundary layer airmass across northwest
    California tonight through Sunday.

    The combination of strong winds and low humidity values will
    favor the potential for fast moving wildfires across areas of dry
    fuels. The inherited Red Flag Warning remains in effect for
    elevations above 1500 feet in southeast Humboldt, southern
    Trinity, interior Mendocino, and northern Lake counties. In
    addition, the Red Flag Warning start time has been changed to 10
    PM Saturday based on the onset of strong ridgetop winds depicted
    in hi-res model guidance.

    JMG/SEC

    &&

    .EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES…
    CA…High Wind Warning from 10 PM this evening to midnight PDT Sunday
    night for CAZ105>108-110-111-113.

    Red Flag Warning from 10 PM this evening to 6 AM PDT Monday for
    CAZ212-276-277-283.

    NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS…Gale Warning until 9 AM PDT
    Sunday for PZZ470-475.

    Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM PDT Sunday for PZZ455.

    Gale Warning until 4 AM PDT Sunday for PZZ450.

    &&

    $$

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  • Thank you for the summary!

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